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	<title>Gambling Blog &#187; &#8220;Beatable&#8221; casino games Guide</title>
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		<title>Handicapping</title>
		<link>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2008/06/15/handicapping/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2008/06/15/handicapping/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Jun 2008 10:32:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nicolae</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Handicaps]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gamblingweblog.com/?p=110</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Handicapping, in sport and games, is the practice of assigning advantage through scoring compensation or other advantage given to different contestants to equalize the chances of winning. The word also applies to the various methods by which the advantage is calculated. In principle, a more experienced player is disadvantaged in order to make it possible [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img longdesc="http://www.flickr.com/photos/julianbleecker/90759053/" src="http://www.gamblingweblog.com/wp-content/gallery/sports/handicapping.jpg" alt="Handicapping" /></p>
<p><strong>Handicapping</strong>, in sport and games, is the practice of assigning advantage  through scoring compensation or other advantage given to different contestants  to equalize the chances of winning. The word also applies to the various methods  by which the advantage is calculated. In principle, a more experienced player is  disadvantaged in order to make it possible for a less experienced player to  participate in the game or sport whilst maintaining fairness. Handicapping also  refers to the various methods by which spectators can predict and quantify the  results of a sporting match.</p>
<p>The term <em>handicap</em> derives from <em> hand-in-cap</em>, a popular seventeenth-century lottery game, where players  placed their bets in a cap. Handicapping is used in scoring many games and  competitive sports, including Go, chess, golf, bowling, polo, yacht racing, and  track and field events. It also serves to foster wagering on horse racing  events. Often, races, contests or tournaments where this practice is  competitively employed are known as <em>Handicaps</em>.</p>
<p>The term is also applied to the practice of predicting the result of a  competition, such as for purposes of betting against the point spread. A favored  team that wins by less than the point spread still wins the game, but bets on  that team lose.</p>
<h2>The practice in action</h2>
<h3>Horse racing</h3>
<p>An impost is the weight that must be carried by a horse in a race. Horses  carry lead weights during the course of a race as a form of handicap. Such a  race is also sometimes termed a &#8220;handicap.&#8221; These weights supplement a jockey&#8217;s  weight to give a horse his assigned impost. The jockeys use saddle pads with  pockets called lead pads to hold the lead weights.</p>
<p>These riding weights are assigned by the racing secretary based on factors  such as performances, distance so as to equalize the chances of the competitors.</p>
<p>The weight for age scale was introduced by Admiral Rous, a steward of the  Jockey Club. In 1855 he was appointed public handicapper. In that role he  introduced the weight-for-age scale.</p>
<h3>Predicting the Outcome of Races</h3>
<p>Thoroughbred handicapping is the art of predicting horses who have the  greatest chance of winning a race, and profiting from these predictions at the  horse races. The Daily Racing Form (DRF), a newspaper-style publication, is the  most important tool of the handicapper or horseplayer. The DRF details  statistical information about each horse entered in a race, including detailed  past performance results, lifetime records, amount of money earned, odds for the  particular horse in each past race, and a myriad of other information available  for casual or serious study.</p>
<p>The handicapping process can be simple or complex but usually includes the  following elements prior to the race:</p>
<p>1) Study of the Daily Racing Form</p>
<p>2) Observing the horses’ body language and behaviour in the paddock and/or  post parade</p>
<p>3) Watching the tote board for the changing odds of each horse and thus for  clues about how the betting public views a horse’s chances of winning the  upcoming race</p>
<p>“Trip Handicapping” takes place during the race and involves watching the  horses (usually with binoculars) and noting relevant information about how a  horse runs during that race.</p>
<p>Handicapping theory is possibly one of the most enigmatic theories in all of  sports. Generally speaking, horseplayers consider the following elements when  handicapping a horse race:</p>
<p><strong>Speed</strong> Those horses who run the fastest, win the most races. The DRF  lists times at certain call points of each race, and the lengths back from the  at each call point. Speed handicappers compare race times to help ascertain  which horses will most likely win the race. The DRF now contains a numerical  summation of the speed that each horse ran in every race, called a Beyer speed  figure. This number is generated through a method developed by Andrew Beyer, and  described in his 1975 book Picking Winners. The Beyer speed figures takes into  account the individual class of a race as well as how the racetrack was playing  on a particular day to create an aggregate number for each horse. The basic  error behind this approach is that the sample size each day which is used to  create the track variant for the speed figure is very small, and hence subject  to massive errors in standard deviation. For example, there may be only one turf  (grass) race on a given day, and the Beyer system has to extract a variant for  that race from a sample of one.</p>
<p><strong>Pace</strong> Pace is probably the single most important factor in determining  the outcome of a race. Pace handicappers classify each horse’s running style  (i.e. front runner, stalker, presser, closer) and then find contenders based on  the predicted pace of today’s race. The difficulty is that the jockey has  control over where a horse is placed in a race and how fast that race goes in  the early stages. This takes the prediction of pace for a given race out of the  realm of mathematics and into the realm of mere speculation.</p>
<p><strong>Form</strong> Those horses who looked “sharp” in their past race or past few  races, win the most races. A sharp horse could have finished strongly, stayed  among the leaders, finished “in the money” (1st, 2nd or 3rd) or recovered from a  bad racing trip. Likewise, a horse showed dull form if it gave up, looked  sluggish or chased the pack. Horses with sharp form have the lowest odds and  hence return the least money per bet. Also, often horses will race off a  &#8220;layoff.&#8221; A layoff is a rest varying in length from usually two months to a year  or more. In this case, workouts, horse appearance, and trainer patterns are the  best guides to whether the horse is ready to run after a rest.</p>
<p><strong>Class</strong> Horse races occur at different levels of competition. Generally,  high caliber horses are entered in races with other high caliber horses and  slower horses are entered in races with other slower horses. But a horse can  move up or down in class, depending on where the trainer decided to enter the  horse based on the results of its last race. Note that the strength of the same  class of race, such as a Maiden Special Weight race, will vary greatly from  track to track, as well as from race to race at the same track, making this too  an inexact determinant of class.</p>
<p><strong>Other Factors</strong> Other factors affecting the outcome of a race are track  condition, weather, weight that the horses have to carry, daily bias of the  racing surface, and many more factors that the handicapper cannot know. (I know  of a horse who ran poorly because of a noisy party that kept it awake the night  before a race).</p>
<h2>Notes</h2>
<ol class="references">
<li id="_note-0"><strong> <a href="file:///E:/www/gambling/gambling/Handicapping.html#_ref-0">^</a></strong> Wood, Greg, &#8220;<a class="external text" title="http://sport.guardian.co.uk/horseracing/story/0,,1745459,00.html" href="http://sport.guardian.co.uk/horseracing/story/0,,1745459,00.html">End  	of an era as Jockey Club falls on own sword</a>&#8220;, <em>The Guardian</em>,  	Monday April 3, 2006. Retrieved on 2006-04-17.</li>
</ol>
<h2>References</h2>
<p><cite id="Reference-Beyer-Reissue_edition_.28May_6.2C_1994.29" class="book" style="font-style: normal;"> Beyer, Andrew (Reissue edition (May 6, 1994)). <em>Picking Winners : A  Horseplayer&#8217;s Guide</em>. Houghton Mifflin. ISBN 0395701325.</cite></p>
<h2>Links</h2>
<ul>
<li> <a class="external text" title="http://www.handicapping.com/" href="http://www.handicapping.com/"> Thoroughbred Horse Racing and Handicapping</a></li>
<li> <a class="external text" title="http://www.usga.org/playing/handicaps/handicaps.html" href="http://www.usga.org/playing/handicaps/handicaps.html"> United States Golf Association Handicap System</a></li>
</ul>
<p align="left">This guide is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
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		<title>Horse racing</title>
		<link>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2008/06/14/horse-racing/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2008/06/14/horse-racing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Jun 2008 09:39:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nicolae</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gamblingweblog.com/?p=103</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A horse race at Del Mar. Horse racing is an equestrian sport which has been practiced over the centuries; the chariot races of Roman times are an early example, as is the contest of the steeds of the god Odin and the giant Hrungnir in Norse mythology. It is often inextricably associated with gambling. Forms [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.gamblingweblog.com/wp-content/gallery/gambling-guide/250px-del_mar_horse_racing.jpg" alt="A horse race at Del Mar" /> A horse race at Del Mar.</p>
<p><strong>Horse racing</strong> is an equestrian sport which has been practiced over the  centuries; the chariot races of Roman times are an early example, as is the  contest of the steeds of the god Odin and the giant Hrungnir in Norse mythology.  It is often inextricably associated with gambling.</p>
<h2>Forms of horse racing</h2>
<p>One of the principal forms of horse racing, which is popular in many parts of  the world, is thoroughbred racing. Harness racing is also popular in the eastern  United States and more popular than thoroughbred racing in the United Kingdom  and Canada. Quarter horse and Arabian racing are also popular in the western  United States.</p>
<p>The breeding, training and racing of horses in many countries is now a  significant economic activity as, to a greater extent, is the gambling industry  which is largely supported by it. Exceptional horses can win millions of dollars  and make millions more by providing stud services, such as horse breeding.</p>
<h2>Horse racing in North America</h2>
<p><img src="http://www.gamblingweblog.com/wp-content/gallery/gambling-guide/250px-monmouth_park.jpg" alt="Monmouth Racetrack in New Jersey in May 2005." /> Monmouth Racetrack in New Jersey in May 2005.</p>
<p>The style of racing, the distances and the type of events varies very much by  the country in which the race is occurring, and many countries offer different  types of horse races.</p>
<p>In the United States, races can occur on flat surfaces of either dirt or  grass, generally thoroughbred racing; other tracks offer quarter horse racing  and harness racing, or combinations of these three types of racing. Racing with  other breeds, such as Arabian horse racing, is found on a limited basis.  American thoroughbred races are run at a wide variety of distances, most  commonly from 4.5 furlongs (905 m) to 1½ miles (2414 m); with this in mind,  breeders of thoroughbred race horses are able to breed horses to excel at a  particular distance.</p>
<p>The high point of US horse racing has traditionally been the Kentucky Derby  which, together with the Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes, form the  Triple Crown for three-year-olds. However, in recent years the Breeders&#8217; Cup  races, held at the end of the year, have been challenging the Triple Crown  events, held early in the year, as determiners of the three-year-old champion.  They also have an important effect on the selection of other annual champions.  The corresponding standard-bred event is the Breeders&#8217; Crown. There are also a  Triple Crown of Harness Racing for Pacers and a Triple Crown of Harness Racing  for Trotters.</p>
<p>American betting on horse racing is sanctioned and regulated by state  governments, almost always through legalized parimutuel gambling. Thoroughbred  horse racing in the United States has its own Hall of Fame for horses, jockeys,  and trainers.</p>
<p>The most famous horses from Canada are Northern Dancer, who after winning the  Kentucky Derby and Preakness went on to become the most successful Thoroughbred  sire ever, and his son Nijinsky II. In Canada, however, harness racing is more  popular than Thoroughbred racing. Woodbine Racetrack in Toronto, home of the  Queen&#8217;s Plate, Canada&#8217;s premier thoroughbred stakes race, and the North America  Cup, Canada&#8217;s premier standard-bred stakes race, is the only race track in North  America which stages Thoroughbred and Standard-bred (harness) meetings on the  same day. The North America Cup has the largest purse of any Canadian horse  race.</p>
<h2>Horse racing in Australia</h2>
<p>Racing in Australasia has enjoyed great success with races such as the world  famous Melbourne Cup, the so-called race that stops a nation, which has recently  attracted many international entries. In Australia, the most famous horse was  Phar Lap, who raced from 1928-1932 (though originally bred in New Zealand). In  2003-2005 Makybe Diva became the first and only horse to ever win the Melbourne  Cup three times. In harness racing, Paleface Adios became a household name  during the 1970s, while Cardigan Bay, a pacing horse from New Zealand, enjoyed  great success at the highest levels of American harness racing in the 1960s.</p>
<h2>Horse racing in Europe</h2>
<p>In the United Kingdom, there are races which involve obstacles (either  hurdles or fences) called National Hunt racing and those which are unobstructed  races over a given distance (flat racing). The UK has provided many of the  sport&#8217;s greatest ever jockeys, most notably Gordon Richards. See also United  Kingdom horse-racing.</p>
<p>In Ireland, noted for its racing history, the Derby-winning thoroughbred  Shergar was kidnapped on February 8, 1983. He has never been found. The multiple  Gold Cup winner Best Mate also hails from Ireland, while the great Red Rum was  bred there, before moving across the Irish Sea to be trained.</p>
<h2>Pedigree</h2>
<p>While the attention of horse racing fans and the media is focused almost  exclusively on the horse&#8217;s performance on the racetrack, or for male horses  possibly its success as a sire, little publicity is given to brood mares. Such  is the case of La Troienne, one of the most important mares of the 20th century  to whom many of the greatest thoroughbred champions, and dams of champions, can  be traced.</p>
<p align="left">This guide is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
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