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	<title>Gambling Blog &#187; Wagering guide</title>
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	<description>Gambling as a betting action</description>
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		<title>Sportsbook</title>
		<link>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2010/03/16/sportsbook-2/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2010/03/16/sportsbook-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Mar 2010 18:03:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nicolae</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Sports betting guide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gamblers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nevada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[race and sports book]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sportsbook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wagers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gamblingweblog.com/?p=2427</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ Sportsbook at Wynn Las Vegas, during Super Bowl XLII, February 2008
A sportsbook (sometimes abbreviated as book) or a race and sports  book is a place where a gambler can wager on various sports competitions,  including football, basketball, baseball, hockey, soccer, horse racing and  boxing. The method of betting varies with the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.gamblingweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/Wynn_Sportsbook.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-2426" title="Wynn_Sportsbook" src="http://www.gamblingweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/Wynn_Sportsbook-300x225.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="225" /></a><em> Sportsbook at Wynn Las Vegas, during Super Bowl XLII, February 2008</em></p>
<p>A <strong>sportsbook</strong> (sometimes abbreviated as book) or a <strong>race and sports  book</strong> is a place where a gambler can wager on various sports competitions,  including football, basketball, baseball, hockey, soccer, horse racing and  boxing. The method of betting varies with the sport and the type of game. The  more prominent the event, the more wagering options that are made available.</p>
<p>Winning bets are paid when the event finishes, or if not finished, when  played long enough to becomes official; otherwise all bets are returned. This  policy can cause some confusion since there can be a difference between what the  sportsbook considers official and what the sports league consider official.  Customers should carefully read the sportsbook rules before placing their bets.</p>
<p>The betting volume at sportsbooks varies throughout the year. Bettors have  more interest in certain types of sports and increase the money wagered when  those sports are in season. Likewise the interest in sports varies by country  since the level of interest in the various sports is not constant the world  over. Some major sporting events that don&#8217;t follow a specific schedule, like  boxing, can create peaks of activity for the sportsbooks.</p>
<h2>Word origin</h2>
<p>A sportsbook is a portmanteau, French for &#8220;jacket holder,&#8221; meaning a suitcase  with two storage spaces. Sportsbook combines two meanings into one word for a  sports gambling operation, in this case SPORTS and BOOK which is short for  bookmaking.</p>
<h2>Odds</h2>
<p>In the mid 1930s, Leo Hirschfield started a company in Minneapolis, Minnesota  called Athletic Publications, Inc., that published and distributed odds to  bookies across the country by telephone and telegraph. He had a team of  handicappers analyzing the matchups who also studied newspapers across the  country. The company was a major provider of odds and prices until it finally  disbanded, under fear of prosecution from the Federal Wire Act of 1961.</p>
<p>Today most sportsbooks get their opening prices from other sportsbooks as  well as private companies like Las Vegas Sports Consultants. They adjust prices  based on the bets coming in, news, injury, and weather information, and the  price movement by other sportsbooks.</p>
<h2>Nevada sportsbooks</h2>
<p>Today there are roughly 150 licensed sportsbooks in the United States, all  located in Nevada casinos. Now that many casinos share the same parent company,  they offer the exact same wagering choices and odds, which is a disadvantage to  the astute gambler who in the past could do more shopping for better prices.</p>
<p>In the 1950s the first Nevada sportsbooks, called turf clubs, opened. They  were independent from the casinos, and had an informal agreement with the hotels  that they would stay out of the casino business as long as the hotels stayed out  of the sportsbook business. The sportsbooks had to pay a 10% tax so they charged  a high vigorish to gamblers, but they still brought in a lot of business.</p>
<p>In 1974 the tax was lowered to 2%, (and in 1983 lowered to 0.25%), and in  1975 Lefty Rosenthal, who ran the Stardust Casino, convinced legislators to  allow them in the casinos, and soon nearly all of the casinos added them. The  turf clubs were no longer able to compete and eventually all closed.</p>
<p>In Nevada casino sportsbooks you will find:</p>
<ul>
<li>Betting Windows</li>
<li>Numerous big screen televisions</li>
<li>Places to sit and watch</li>
<li>Interactive betting stations</li>
<li>Odds boards, usually computerized</li>
</ul>
<h2>UK sportsbooks</h2>
<p>Betting shops are common in the United Kingdom. Companies like Ladbrokes and  William Hill have offered walk-in betting shops for decades.</p>
<p>This article is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
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		<title>Sports betting systems</title>
		<link>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/10/25/sports-betting-systems-2/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/10/25/sports-betting-systems-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 11:02:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nicolae</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Sports betting guide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[betting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sports Betting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sportsbooks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[systems]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gamblingweblog.com/?p=1807</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Sports betting systems refers to a set of events that when combined for a  particular game for a particular sport represents a profitable betting scenario.  Since sports betting involves humans, there is no deterministic edge to the  house or the gambler. Systems allow the gambler to have an edge.
Sportsbooks  use systems [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.gamblingweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Greenwood_Betting.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1808" title="Greenwood_Betting" src="http://www.gamblingweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Greenwood_Betting.jpg" alt="Greenwood_Betting" width="450" height="337" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Sports betting systems</strong> refers to a set of events that when combined for a  particular game for a particular sport represents a profitable betting scenario.  Since sports betting involves humans, there is no deterministic edge to the  house or the gambler. Systems allow the gambler to have an edge.</p>
<p>Sportsbooks  use systems in their analysis to set more accurate odds. Therefore the novice  gambler may believe that using a system will always work, it is the general  consensus that at some point, the oddsmakers will have adjusted for the system  to make it no longer profitable. Very short-lived systems are called trends. Any  single event that estimates a selection to have a higher likelihood of winning  is called an angle as they are meant to be used in conjunction with other angles  and trends to produce systems.</p>
<h2>Betting on systems</h2>
<p>Systems can be deceiving. Any sample space can be constrained enough with  meaningless criteria to create the illusion of a profitable betting system. For  example, a coin can be flipped with heads being home teams and tails being road  teams. Heads and tails each have a 50% probability of landing but if the amount  of flips is limited to a small number, it is conceivable to create the illusion  of predicting heads will come up 75% of the time.</p>
<p>That, in conjunction with the fact that sportsbooks adjust their odds  according to the systems makes it difficult to follow systems indefinitely. The  sportsbooks are slower to adjust the odds in some sports versus other sports  depending on the number of games played and the amount of money they take in  from bettors.</p>
<h2>Determining systems</h2>
<p>Determining systems is a matter of using computer analysis tools and  extracting all the possible games that meet a bettor&#8217;s criteria. Then the bettor  analyzes the results of those games to make a determination if one team is  favored over the other.</p>
<p>This guide is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
<p><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/8lVPK9ZvTSA&#038;hl=en&#038;fs=1&#038;"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/8lVPK9ZvTSA&#038;hl=en&#038;fs=1&#038;" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object></p>
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		<item>
		<title>Soft lines</title>
		<link>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/09/10/soft-lines-2/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/09/10/soft-lines-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Sep 2009 20:51:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nicolae</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Sports betting guide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[betting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[betting odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[handicappers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[soft lines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sportsbooks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[terminology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gamblingweblog.com/?p=1559</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Soft lines is a betting terminology representing betting odds that have  been poorly researched by sportsbooks.
Handicappers commonly use this term to  emphasize the value of their play. Since handicappers can focus on a smaller  subset of all the possible games, they have the chance to identify soft lines.  Soft lines usually [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Soft lines</strong> is a betting terminology representing betting odds that have  been poorly researched by sportsbooks.</p>
<p>Handicappers commonly use this term to  emphasize the value of their play. Since handicappers can focus on a smaller  subset of all the possible games, they have the chance to identify soft lines.  Soft lines usually exist in the games where the least number of people bet  because there is less incentive by the sportsbooks to put an effort into making  strong lines.</p>
<p>This guide is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
<p><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/4wXI-J8Qqm0&#038;hl=en&#038;fs=1&#038;"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/4wXI-J8Qqm0&#038;hl=en&#038;fs=1&#038;" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object></p>
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		<title>Proposition bet</title>
		<link>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/07/01/proposition-bet/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/07/01/proposition-bet/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Jul 2009 18:22:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nicolae</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Wagering guide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gambling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prop bet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[proposition bet]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/07/01/proposition-bet/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In gambling, a proposition bet (also called a prop bet) is any bet made  for a sum of money that involves a proposition. An example is the professional  poker player, Howard &#8220;The Professor&#8221; Lederer, a vegetarian who wagered $10,000  with a fellow gambler that he could eat a cheeseburger. He did it [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In gambling, a <strong>proposition bet</strong> (also called a prop bet) is any bet made  for a sum of money that involves a proposition. An example is the professional  poker player, Howard &#8220;The Professor&#8221; Lederer, a vegetarian who wagered $10,000  with a fellow gambler that he could eat a cheeseburger. He did it and won the  money. Golf is a very common game for prop bets.</p>
<h2>Link</h2>
<ul>
<li> <a title="http://www.cigaraficionado.com/Cigar/CA_Archives/CA_Show_Article/0,2322,146,00.html" href="http://www.cigaraficionado.com/Cigar/CA_Archives/CA_Show_Article/0,2322,146,00.html"> Article detailing several prop bets</a></li>
</ul>
<p>This guide is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Pick 6</title>
		<link>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/05/06/pick-6/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/05/06/pick-6/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 May 2009 10:13:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nicolae</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Wagering guide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bettors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[boxing horses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dirt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[horse racing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[late scratches]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[parimutuel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pick 6]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[superfecta]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tracks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trifecta]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[turf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wager]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wagers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[winners]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gamblingweblog.com/?p=1263</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A pick 6 is a type of wager offered by horse racing tracks. It requires  bettors to select the winners of six consecutive races. Because of the great  difficulty in picking six straight winners, plus the number of betting interests  involved, payoffs for successful wagers are quite high, sometimes in the  [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A <strong>pick 6</strong> is a type of wager offered by horse racing tracks. It requires  bettors to select the winners of six consecutive races. Because of the great  difficulty in picking six straight winners, plus the number of betting interests  involved, payoffs for successful wagers are quite high, sometimes in the  millions of dollars.The pick 6 has its roots in the daily double, the first  so-called &#8220;exotic&#8221; wager offred by horse tracks. To win the daily double, a  bettor must pick the winner of two consecutive races, traditionally the first  two and the last two races of the program. The pick 6 merely extends this  principle. The wager is offered once per program, and is usually offered on six  races which conclude with the featured race of the day.</p>
<p>The wager is conducted in parimutuel fashion, with all pick 6 bets going into  a separate pool from other kinds of betting. There is one &#8220;betting interest&#8221; for  each available combination, and the number of combinations is equal to the  product of the number of runners in all six races. A simplified example: If  there are ten horses in each of the six races, then the number of combinations  is 10 × 10 × 10 × 10 × 10 × 10, or 1,000,000.</p>
<p>The pick 6 wager actually has two payoffs, one for bettors who pick all six  winners, and a smaller payoff for those who pick five out of six. The total pick  6 betting pool is divided by precentage between the two payouts, along the lines  of 75% for the six-winner pool and 25% for the five-winner pool.</p>
<p>Because of the sheer difficulty off successfully choosing six straight  winners, plus the large number of betting interests, it is common for there to  be no winning wager on all six races. When that happens, the six-winner portion  of the pool carries over to the following program, and continues to carry over  until it is won. This allows the &#8220;carryover pool&#8221; to grow to large sums, and  tracks usually publicize the fact that their carryover pool has grown to six or  seven figures. The five-winner pool is paid out each day, however; if no bettors  have chosen five out of six winners, then those who have chosen four winners are  paid, or even just three winners (which has happened when a series of longshots  have won races). The pick 6 pool is also paid out in its entirety on the last  day of a race meet; if there are no six-winner tickets, then the pool is split  among five-winner tickets.</p>
<p>Because of the huge number of betting interests involved, bettors will often  try to increase their chances of winning by selecting multiple combinations.  This can be costly — a bettor who wants to cover two horses in each race muct  bet on 2 × 2 × 2 × 2 × 2 × 2 combinations, or 64 combinations, times $2 for each  for a total of $128. This method is called &#8220;boxing horses,&#8221; and is also used  with other wagers such as a trifecta or superfecta.</p>
<h2>Late scratches</h2>
<p>Because all pick 6 wagers must be made before the first of the six races,  there are many times when a horse is scratched from a race well after the wager  is placed. How this is handled varies according to the rules of the racing  jurisdiction. In most cases, the track substitutes the horse that is the post  time betting favorite (in the &#8220;win&#8221; betting pools); if the bettor&#8217;s original  horse is a late scratch and the post time favorite wins, then the betor is  considered to have picked the winner for that race. In other cases, the track  may declare combinations involving the scratched horse to have &#8220;no action,&#8221; and  the wager is refunded.</p>
<h2>Races moved from turf to dirt</h2>
<p>At North American tracks, races which are run on a turf (grass) course must  sometimes be moved to the main dirt course, usually due to heavy rain or other  adverse weather conditions; sometimes this switch is made after pick 6 wagering  is closed. Moving from turf to dirt greatly affects the wagering decisions of  astute handicappers, as many horses perform differently according to the racing  surface. For pick 6 wagering, different tracks handle this situation in  different ways. In New York, a race moved from turf to dirt after pick 6  wagering closes is declared an &#8220;all win&#8221; race, where picks on any horse in that  race are declared successful. If only one race is moved, bettors who  successfully pick the other five race winers will win or share the ful  six-winner pool, including carryovers. If two races are moved, bettors who pick  the other four winners will win or share in that day&#8217;s six-winner pool, but <em> no</em> carryover, and the previous carryover pool only goes to the next program.  (Few North American tracks schedule more than two turf races in a program.)</p>
<p>This guide is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
<p><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/PoiK-qXwvZA&#038;hl=en&#038;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/PoiK-qXwvZA&#038;hl=en&#038;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object></p>
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		<title>Parlay</title>
		<link>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/04/08/parlay/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/04/08/parlay/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Apr 2009 16:04:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nicolae</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Wagering guide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[benefit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[parlay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wagers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/04/08/parlay/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A parlay is a single bet that links together two or more individual  wagers and is dependent on all of those wagers winning together. The benefit of  the parlay is that there are much higher payoffs than placing each individual  bet separately since the difficulty of hitting it is much higher. If [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A <strong>parlay</strong> is a single bet that links together two or more individual  wagers and is dependent on all of those wagers winning together. The benefit of  the parlay is that there are much higher payoffs than placing each individual  bet separately since the difficulty of hitting it is much higher. If any of the  bets in the parlay loses, the entire parlay loses.For example: Joe placed a  three-team NFL parlay on the Lions, Bears and Bengals. If any one of those teams  fail to cover the spread, Joe loses his parlay bet. But if all three teams beat  the spread, Joe gets paid $600 for every $100 bet.</p>
<h2>Links</h2>
<ul>
<li> <a class="external text" title="http://sportsgambling.about.com/od/sportsgamblingbasics/g/Parlay.htm" href="http://sportsgambling.about.com/od/sportsgamblingbasics/g/Parlay.htm"> About.com definition</a></li>
<li> <a class="external text" title="https://mywebspace.wisc.edu/jmbehnke/web/parlay.html" href="https://mywebspace.wisc.edu/jmbehnke/web/parlay.html"> Parlay Odds Calculator</a> &#8211; Calculate the payout of a potential parlay.</li>
</ul>
<p>This guide is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
<p>Need an webmaster? Click <a href="mailto:nicolae@sfetcu.com">HERE</a></p>
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		<title>Over-under</title>
		<link>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/03/22/over-under/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/03/22/over-under/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Mar 2009 11:57:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nicolae</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Wagering guide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[basketball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bettors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[over-under]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[over/under]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sportsbook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wager]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gamblingweblog.com/?p=1143</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[An over-under or over/under bet is a wager in which a sportsbook  will predict a number for a statistic in a given game (usually the combined  score of the two teams), and bettors wager that the actual number in the game  will be either higher or lower than that number. For example, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An <strong>over-under</strong> or <strong>over/under</strong> bet is a wager in which a sportsbook  will predict a number for a statistic in a given game (usually the combined  score of the two teams), and bettors wager that the actual number in the game  will be either higher or lower than that number. For example, in Super Bowl  XXXIX, most Las Vegas casinos set the over-under for the score of the game at <strong> 46.0</strong>. A bettor could wager that the combined score of the two teams would be  either more than or less than that number (as it happened, the combined score  was 45, so anyone who had bet the under won).</p>
<h2>Statistics</h2>
<p>Though this bet is most commonly made with the combined score of the two  teams, many other statistics can be used, including:</p>
<ul>
<li>A team&#8217;s win-loss record for the season</li>
<li>In football, a player&#8217;s or team&#8217;s total rushing yards or attempts, first  	down conversions, third down conversions, interceptions, completions, etc.</li>
<li>In basketball, a player&#8217;s or team&#8217;s total assists, blocks, turnovers,  	steals, field goal percentage, etc.</li>
<li>In baseball, a player&#8217;s or team&#8217;s total number of home runs, RBI, etc.</li>
</ul>
<p>This guide is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
<p>Need an webmaster? Click <a href="mailto:nicolae@sfetcu.com">HERE</a></p>
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		<title>Odds</title>
		<link>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/03/10/odds/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/03/10/odds/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Mar 2009 14:04:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nicolae</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Wagering guide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bookmakers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[odds-ratios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[probabilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[probability theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gamblingweblog.com/?p=1098</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In probability theory and statistics the odds in favor of an event or a  proposition are the quantity p / (1 − p), where p is the  probability of the event or proposition. The logarithm of the odds is the logit  of the probability.Odds have long been the standard way of representing [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In probability theory and statistics the <strong>odds</strong> in favor of an event or a  proposition are the quantity <em>p</em> / (1 − <em>p</em>), where <em>p</em> is the  probability of the event or proposition. The logarithm of the odds is the logit  of the probability.Odds have long been the standard way of representing  probability used by bookmakers, though the method of presenting odds varies by  location.</p>
<p>Taking an event with a 1 in 5 probability of occurring (i.e. 0.2 or 20%),  then the odds are 0.2 / (1 − 0.2) = 0.2 / 0.8 = <strong>0.25</strong>. If you bet 1 at  fair odds and the event occurred, you would receive back 4 plus your original 1  stake. This would be presented in fractional odds of 4 to 1 <em>against</em> (written as 4 : 1 or 4/1), in decimal odds as 5.0 to include the returned stake,  in craps payout as 5 for 1, and in moneyline odds as +400 representing the gain  from a 100 stake.</p>
<p>By contrast, for an event with a 4 in 5 probability of occurring (i.e. 0.8 or  80%), then the odds are 0.8 / (1 − 0.8) = <strong>4</strong>. If you bet 4 at fair odds  and the event occurred, you would receive back 1 plus your original 4 stake.  This would be presented in fractional odds of 4 to 1 <em>on</em> (written as 1 : 4  or 1/4), in decimal odds as 1.25 to include the returned stake, in craps as 5  for 4, and in moneyline odds as −400 representing the stake necessary to gain  100.</p>
<p>The odds are a ratio of probabilities; an odds ratio is a ratio of odds, that  is, a ratio of ratios of probabilities. Odds-ratios are often used in analysis  of clinical trials. While they have useful mathematical properties, they can  produce counter-intuitive results: in the example above an 80% probability is  four times the chance of a 20% probability but the odds are 16 times higher.</p>
<p>This guide is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
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		<title>Nassau bet</title>
		<link>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/02/21/nassau-bet/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/02/21/nassau-bet/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2009 15:49:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nicolae</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Wagering guide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[golf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Handicaps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[holes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassau bet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassau match]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassau Presses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[points]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[press bet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wagers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/02/21/nassau-bet/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
The Nassau bet is a type of bet in golf that is essentially three  separate bets. Money is wagered on the best score in the front 9, back 9, and  total 18 holes. The Nassau is one of golf&#8217;s most classic and most popular  wagers.The amount of the bet is established &#8212; [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1047" title="golf_swing-sun_rivers" src="http://www.gamblingweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/golf_swing-sun_rivers.jpg" alt="golf_swing-sun_rivers" width="450" height="337" /></p>
<p>The <strong>Nassau bet</strong> is a type of bet in golf that is essentially three  separate bets. Money is wagered on the best score in the front 9, back 9, and  total 18 holes. The Nassau is one of golf&#8217;s most classic and most popular  wagers.The amount of the bet is established &#8212; often $2 or $5 &#8212; for each  nine with a third bet for the overall 18-hole match. Points are calculated by  scoring each hole as a separate match. The player with the lowest score on a  hole wins a point. If the scores tie for a hole, this results in a &#8220;push,&#8221; or no  points won or lost.</p>
<h2>Nassau Presses</h2>
<p>This is a side bet offered during a Nassau match by the side that is losing  in an effort to even their money for either the front or back nine. If the  player who presses then beats his opponent over the remaining holes on that  nine, he wins the press bet. In effect it is a double or nothing proposition.  When a side is two or more points down in the match, they may request a press.  The opposition has the option to accept or reject the press, although it is  usually accepted.</p>
<p>The press bet runs for the remaining holes to be played on either the front  or back nine holes only. Press bets can be re-pressed if the player falls two  more points behind. The amount of the press bet is the same as the original  match bet. For example, in a $2 Nassau, presses are for $2.</p>
<p>As with any golf game, players of greatly different abilities can compete.  Handicaps are used to determine how many strokes one player must give another.</p>
<p>This guide is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
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		<title>Kelly gambling</title>
		<link>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/02/07/kelly-gambling/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gamblingweblog.com/2009/02/07/kelly-gambling/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Feb 2009 17:28:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nicolae</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Wagering guide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[application]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[data communications]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[equation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[equation of ill-gotten gains]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gambler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gambler's ruin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gambling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[information theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kelly gambling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[optimal betting strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pierce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[relation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenario]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shannon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[theory of information]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gamblingweblog.com/?p=1005</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Kelly gambling is an application of information theory to gambling and  (with some ethical and legal reservations) investing. An important but simple  relation exists between the amount of side information a gambler obtains and the  expected exponential growth of his capital (Kelly). The so-called equation of  ill-gotten gains can be expressed [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Kelly gambling</strong> is an application of information theory to gambling and  (with some ethical and legal reservations) investing. An important but simple  relation exists between the amount of side information a gambler obtains and the  expected exponential growth of his capital (Kelly). The so-called <strong>equation of  ill-gotten gains</strong> can be expressed in logarithmic form as</p>
<p align="center">
<img src="http://www.gamblingweblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/1e9fb69f3dc4e6bb8c2ea98e7543af54.png" alt="1e9fb69f3dc4e6bb8c2ea98e7543af54" title="1e9fb69f3dc4e6bb8c2ea98e7543af54" width="228" height="60" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1006" />
</p>
<p>for an optimal betting strategy, where <span class="texhtml"><em>K</em><sub>0</sub></span> is the initial capital, <span class="texhtml"><em>K</em><sub><em>t</em></sub></span> is the capital after the <em>t</em>th bet, and <span class="texhtml"><em>H</em><sub><em>i</em></sub></span> is the amount of side information obtained concerning the <em>i</em>th bet (in  particular, the mutual information relative to the outcome of each betable  event). This equation applies in the absence of any transaction costs or minimum  bets. When these constraints apply (as they invariably do in real life), another  important gambling concept comes into play: the gambler (or unscrupulous  investor) must face a certain probability of ultimate ruin, which is known as  the gambler&#8217;s ruin scenario. Note that even food, clothing, and shelter can be  considered fixed transaction costs and thus contribute to the gambler&#8217;s  probability of ultimate ruin.</p>
<p>This equation was the first application of Shannon&#8217;s theory of information  outside its prevailing paradigm of data communications (Pierce).</p>
<p>This guide is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
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